Controlled synthetic sweep (maple-court, room set fixed, circ_divisor 2->9)
shows per-leaf shape-fail is FLAT vs slicing density (1.72-1.94, no trend)
while TOTAL shape fails track leaf count linearly (139->116). Crinkliness
dominates (~0.8/leaf) and is flat; cuts are already squarest yet still pay
~1.8 fails/leaf. Floor is INTRINSIC to per-leaf slicing, not cut quality.
Verdict: prioritise leaf-sharing (erc.3); deprioritise compactness-cuts
(erc.5 -> P4). Adds experiments/diag_leaf_shapefail.py.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>