f47dfe60af
Harbor and maple, three 500k plateau starts x two RNG seeds, 8000 evals, all arms scored under stock. Run against the pre-39.19 defaults, so "stock" is the old objective. harbor geomean 39.17 -> 39.00 1W/0L/5T diff +0.167 MDD 0.428 harbor geomean+daylight 39.17 -> 39.00 1W/0L/5T diff +0.167 MDD 0.428 maple geomean 60.50 -> 60.17 1W/1L/4T diff +0.333 MDD 1.434 maple geomean+daylight 60.50 -> 60.00 1W/0L/5T diff +0.500 MDD 1.285 Every margin sits below what N=6 can resolve (N ~= 26-67 needed). Unlike 39.13's ramp, which was an exact null with sd=0 and identical trajectories, the arms here do diverge and all four land on the favourable side of zero -- worth exactly what four coin-flips landing the same way is worth. Recorded so a later run cannot cite it as evidence. Also recorded: none of 39.13, 39.14 or 39.18 produced a measurable search improvement at this budget. All were shipped on correctness grounds and 39.19 then required two of them outright. If the 39 objective changes pay off in search terms, this corpus has not shown it yet. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com> Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01MJ84Feep79Hhm3E4zZJmnB
3.1 KiB
3.1 KiB
| 1 | programme | start | seed | tail | hard | soft | total | score | elapsed_s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | harbor-house | coldstart-500000-s0.dom | 0 | stock | 8 | 25 | 33 | 1.85176240526207e-11 | 406.1 |
| 3 | harbor-house | coldstart-500000-s0.dom | 0 | geomean | 8 | 25 | 33 | 1.3331368428113424e-11 | 408.8 |
| 4 | harbor-house | coldstart-500000-s0.dom | 0 | geomean+daylight | 8 | 25 | 33 | 1.3331474034308951e-11 | 486.4 |
| 5 | harbor-house | coldstart-500000-s2.dom | 0 | stock | 12 | 30 | 42 | 2.0876504874272412e-14 | 434.0 |
| 6 | harbor-house | coldstart-500000-s2.dom | 0 | geomean | 12 | 29 | 41 | 4.905855471687939e-14 | 360.9 |
| 7 | harbor-house | coldstart-500000-s2.dom | 0 | geomean+daylight | 12 | 30 | 42 | 2.0270861698600025e-14 | 356.8 |
| 8 | maple-court | coldstart-500000-s1.dom | 0 | stock | 17 | 56 | 73 | 3.549637383437798e-25 | 438.8 |
| 9 | maple-court | coldstart-500000-s1.dom | 0 | geomean | 17 | 56 | 73 | 3.4927712102261773e-25 | 451.9 |
| 10 | maple-court | coldstart-500000-s1.dom | 0 | geomean+daylight | 17 | 56 | 73 | 3.490922156298438e-25 | 473.2 |
| 11 | harbor-house | coldstart-500000-s0.dom | 1 | stock | 8 | 24 | 32 | 3.749216704165142e-11 | 414.2 |
| 12 | harbor-house | coldstart-500000-s0.dom | 1 | geomean | 8 | 24 | 32 | 2.7696350036240933e-11 | 426.3 |
| 13 | harbor-house | coldstart-500000-s0.dom | 1 | geomean+daylight | 8 | 24 | 32 | 2.6179276610885845e-11 | 496.2 |
| 14 | harbor-house | coldstart-500000-s2.dom | 1 | stock | 12 | 30 | 42 | 2.0876504874272412e-14 | 446.5 |
| 15 | harbor-house | coldstart-500000-s2.dom | 1 | geomean | 12 | 30 | 42 | 1.987950485765416e-14 | 365.1 |
| 16 | harbor-house | coldstart-500000-s2.dom | 1 | geomean+daylight | 12 | 29 | 41 | 3.0629342889555544e-14 | 354.0 |
| 17 | maple-court | coldstart-500000-s1.dom | 1 | stock | 17 | 56 | 73 | 3.5495919599065193e-25 | 438.9 |
| 18 | maple-court | coldstart-500000-s1.dom | 1 | geomean | 17 | 56 | 73 | 3.5024500858428627e-25 | 451.5 |
| 19 | maple-court | coldstart-500000-s1.dom | 1 | geomean+daylight | 17 | 56 | 73 | 3.491084124317304e-25 | 447.6 |
| 20 | harbor-house | coldstart-500000-s1.dom | 0 | stock | 7 | 36 | 43 | 1.4676873187056738e-15 | 368.6 |
| 21 | harbor-house | coldstart-500000-s1.dom | 0 | geomean | 7 | 36 | 43 | 1.4665664078808208e-15 | 372.1 |
| 22 | harbor-house | coldstart-500000-s1.dom | 0 | geomean+daylight | 7 | 36 | 43 | 1.2492266264690038e-15 | 462.0 |
| 23 | maple-court | coldstart-500000-s0.dom | 0 | stock | 18 | 35 | 53 | 9.987013209179406e-18 | 546.9 |
| 24 | maple-court | coldstart-500000-s0.dom | 0 | geomean | 18 | 35 | 53 | 9.60106526960439e-18 | 462.1 |
| 25 | maple-court | coldstart-500000-s0.dom | 0 | geomean+daylight | 18 | 35 | 53 | 9.763084974756856e-18 | 460.8 |
| 26 | maple-court | coldstart-500000-s2.dom | 0 | stock | 12 | 43 | 55 | 2.9415325131166865e-18 | 479.3 |
| 27 | maple-court | coldstart-500000-s2.dom | 0 | geomean | 12 | 44 | 56 | 1.496080486892727e-18 | 481.9 |
| 28 | maple-court | coldstart-500000-s2.dom | 0 | geomean+daylight | 11 | 44 | 55 | 3.1185722410760797e-18 | 479.8 |
| 29 | harbor-house | coldstart-500000-s1.dom | 1 | stock | 7 | 36 | 43 | 1.4676873187056738e-15 | 381.1 |
| 30 | harbor-house | coldstart-500000-s1.dom | 1 | geomean | 7 | 36 | 43 | 1.4465496601047535e-15 | 377.1 |
| 31 | harbor-house | coldstart-500000-s1.dom | 1 | geomean+daylight | 7 | 36 | 43 | 1.2455994055175617e-15 | 465.2 |
| 32 | maple-court | coldstart-500000-s0.dom | 1 | stock | 17 | 37 | 54 | 5.878387691540865e-18 | 547.7 |
| 33 | maple-court | coldstart-500000-s0.dom | 1 | geomean | 18 | 36 | 54 | 5.1384167541013474e-18 | 487.6 |
| 34 | maple-court | coldstart-500000-s0.dom | 1 | geomean+daylight | 17 | 37 | 54 | 5.537746091126898e-18 | 503.0 |
| 35 | maple-court | coldstart-500000-s2.dom | 1 | stock | 12 | 43 | 55 | 2.931601349417379e-18 | 506.2 |
| 36 | maple-court | coldstart-500000-s2.dom | 1 | geomean | 12 | 40 | 52 | 2.12145776572736e-17 | 493.1 |
| 37 | maple-court | coldstart-500000-s2.dom | 1 | geomean+daylight | 12 | 40 | 52 | 2.288105258404665e-17 | 493.3 |